Bridging the Cooling Gap: Energy Efficiency as a Driver for Appliance Access
This research is posted preprint and will be published in the EEDAL’24 Book of Proceedings.
Energy efficient cooling appliances play a critical role in addressing climate resilience and cooling equity. This new research investigates how doubling the energy efficiency of cooling technologies globally can reduce lifecycle costs, expand appliance access, and limit energy demand growth. It focuses on three high-impact, low-access countries: India, Indonesia, and Nigeria and evaluates the impact of efficiency improvements on affordability, ownership, and climate adaptation, offering critical insights into policies needed to close access gaps and achieve net zero goals.
Key Findings
Doubling the efficiency of fans, refrigerators, and room air conditioners globally by 2030 could unlock great benefits. By 2050, in the three countries studied, this could:
- Drive down the total cost of ownership by 60% for room air conditioners and refrigerators and 58% for fans
- Deliver $105 billion USD in annual net consumer benefits in 2050
- Expand access by an additional 4-13 percentage points
- Avoid more than 420,000 premature deaths
- Limit the total energy consumed by these appliances to about half of what it would be otherwise
Recommendations
To realize these benefits, governments and other market actors must:
- Increase research and development funding, financing and financial incentives, bulk procurement schemes, awards, and informational tools to drive market uptake of efficient appliances
- Implement innovative financing schemes to reduce upfront costs
- Reduce tariffs to make efficient appliances more affordable locally
- Expand decentralized energy solutions, like solar home systems and mini-grids to help rural, low-income communities access energy services more readily
Leave No One Behind: Bridging the Energy Access Gap with Innovative Off-Grid Solar Solutions
Millions of people lack access to the power grid, particularly in low-income rural areas of Africa and South Asia. If the current slow pace of electrification continues, 660 million people – most of them in Africa – will remain without electricity in 2030. Due to numerous challenges, people in off-grid settings typically have a lower quality of life, worse health outcomes, higher energy costs, and fewer economic opportunities than their grid-connected peers. High-quality, efficient off-grid solar appliances are a proven solution to these challenges.
This report – the third in the State of the Off-Grid Appliance Market series – finds that while the sector has strong fundamentals, it must rapidly grow in scale and ambition to avoid leaving people behind.
Key Findings:
- Approximately 159 million off-grid solar fans, water pumps, refrigerators, and grain mills are needed to serve people who lack access to the electric grid. Less than 2% of this demand is being met, leaving more than half a billion people without life-changing appliances.
- There is a significant market opportunity of $58 billion USD for off-grid solar appliances like fans, water pumps, refrigerators, and grain mills.
- The off-grid appliance sector is characterized by a multitude of business models, reflecting a diverse range of technologies, end users, and operating environments. There is no one right business model; rather, chosen models need to be managed appropriately.
- Closing the energy service gap in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia requires exponential growth in the appliance sector. This can be achieved by deploying significantly more capital, strengthening cross-sectoral collaboration, and developing coherent policies and innovative business models.
Recommendations:
- Governments should emphasize quality assurance and consumer protection through rigorous quality standards and tax and duty exemptions to make high-quality solar products more accessible; support an enabling environment by incentivizing local manufacturers and launching consumer awareness campaigns; and develop integrated policies by establishing cross-ministry task forces to integrate and harmonize policies and regulations.
- Investors, development partners, and financiers should encourage market entry by increasing the deployment of capital over the next ten years; create public-private partnerships by developing programs that combine public and private funding; integrate with climate finance by leveraging carbon credits and other climate finance mechanisms; and provide innovation funding to local and foreign technology innovators.
- Technology innovators should design appliances that meet the specific needs of local off-grid consumers; and enhance product durability and reliability that focuses on long-term user satisfaction and low maintenance costs.
- Venture builders and entrepreneurs should work to expand pay-as-you-go (PAYGo) models; leverage catalytic grants to innovate business models and build partnerships; and focus on specific market segments to enhance efficiency and increase market penetration.
- All market actors should prioritize user-centric data that directly benefits appliance users; harmonize methodologies that establish standardized tracking systems for assessing progress and informing policy decisions; and facilitate data sharing to inform decision-making and policy development.
About Efficiency for Access
Efficiency for Access is a global coalition working to promote renewable and energy efficient appliances to deliver clean energy to the world’s poorest people. It is coordinated jointly by CLASP and the UK’s Energy Saving Trust.
How National Appliance and Equipment Energy Conservation Standards Can Improve Public Health in the US
Gain insight into the critical role of national appliance standards in improving public health and discover how to measure their impact against Justice40 goals. Find actionable recommendations for maximizing their benefits for a healthier, greener, and fairer future.
Key findings
- National appliance standards have led to significant reductions in PM2.5 and PM2.5 precursor emissions, avoiding hundreds of thousands of tons of pollutants in 2017.
- These standards prevented between 1,900 and 4,400 PM2.5-related deaths in 2017, translating to monetary benefits of $18 to $41 billion.
- Health benefits from national appliance standards have been distributed relatively equitably. Communities designated as disadvantaged by Justice40, representing 33% of the total population, have received 36% of the health benefits.
Recommendations
- The US Department of Energy must meet legal deadlines for updating appliance efficiency standards to maximize public health benefits.
- Governments should expand outreach and incentives to promote efficient appliance adoption, prioritizing disadvantaged communities, renters, and low-income households.
- Engage disadvantaged communities and people of color in all stages of policy development and implementation.
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Additional Resources:
CLASP Supports Pakistan Government’s Efforts with Cooling Needs Assessment
Pakistan faces one of the highest cooling demands globally, ranking fifth in a recent study1. Despite this, access to cooling remains low, leaving a significant portion of the population vulnerable to heat-related risks. In response to this challenge, CLASP and local partner SAMA^Verte have collaborated with the Pakistan Ministry of Climate Change and Environmental Coordination to conduct a comprehensive Cooling Needs Assessment (CNA) to inform strategic initiatives, and serve as a foundation for a Pakistan Cooling Action Plan (PCAP).
The CNA analyzed the current state of cooling demand and notes that, while temperatures are rising, many households lack access to adequate space cooling and refrigeration. Although nearly all households have at least one electric fan, only 11% of households own an air conditioner, while 55% refrigerator ownership and limited use of cold chain technology create food safety and waste issues. Additionally, barriers such as access to a steady electricity supply and the affordability of cooling appliances hinder widespread adoption, particularly for the 26% of the population not connected to the grid.
The CNA provides insights into the existing policy landscape, current cooling demand, and future projections under different policy scenarios, which were used to guide the selection of priority interventions for the PCAP. A comprehensive assessment focused on key cooling appliances – domestic and commercial refrigeration, domestic air conditioning and electric comfort fans – with largest potential for energy consumption and emissions reduction. The data was gathered though extensive consultative processes. The main CNA results include:
- In a Business-As-Usual scenario, indirect emissions from the priority cooling appliances are responsible for 86% of the total emissions, with direct emissions from the refrigerants accounting for only 14%.
- Of the indirect emissions, the emissions resulting from the use of fans are the highest at 54% of the total, but fans also offer the greatest potential for reducing energy consumption and emissions.
- Without policy intervention, between 2024-2030, Pakistan’s cumulative energy consumption and indirect CO2 emissions from the priority cooling appliances are projected to reach 695.4 TWh and 326.8 megatons (Mt) respectively.
As Pakistan continues its journey towards becoming the world’s 20th largest economy by 2030, the PCAP will play a crucial role in ensuring sustainable and efficient cooling, aligning with the country’s development and climate ambitions. Increasing access to affordable, efficient cooling will ease the strain on national power grids and reduce consumers’ energy bills.
Building on the analysis in the CNA, the PCAP details concrete interventions to effectively manage the projected growth in cooling demand associated emissions, and reduce the cooling access gap. The PCAP has been finalized and is currently in the process of approval by the government of Pakistan.
The developments of CNA and PCAP were funded by Clean Cooling Collaborative.
Download the full Cooling Needs Assessment report here.
0. This is the product of population and Cooling Degree Days (CDDs) per year (230M x 2,810 CDDs). The Person CDDs methodology has been described by the US Department of Energy in The Future of Air Conditioning For Buildings (2016), which uses the 2016 population figure of 182M. This has been updated using population of 230M in 2022. The 646-billion-person CDDs still ranks Pakistan in 5th place behind India, China, Indonesia and Nigeria.
Improving Public Health & Advancing Equity Goals with Appliance Energy Efficiency Standards
Federal energy efficiency standards for appliances and equipment lead to cleaner air, creating health benefits. By conserving energy, standards reduce both indirect emissions (from power plants) and direct emissions (from fossil fuel appliances). This decreases human exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) pollution, a harmful form of particle pollution capable of entering the lungs and bloodstream and contributing to increased incidences of respiratory and cardiovascular health complications.
This factsheet summarizes the key findings from a recent report that estimates the distribution of public health benefits in disadvantaged communities in the United States. Specifically, it estimates the reductions in PM2.5-related deaths that can be attributed to standards adopted over a 30-year period and explores how standards can contribute to Justice40 Initiative goals.
0. This is the product of population and Cooling Degree Days (CDDs) per year (230M x 2,810 CDDs). The Person CDDs methodology has been described by the US Department of Energy in The Future of Air Conditioning For Buildings (2016), which uses the 2016 population figure of 182M. This has been updated using population of 230M in 2022. The 646-billion-person CDDs still ranks Pakistan in 5th place behind India, China, Indonesia and Nigeria.
Cooling India: Energy-Efficient Fans for a Greener Tomorrow
This article was originally published in Energy Efficiency Services Limited’s quarterly newsletter by Bishal Thapa, Senior Director – CLASP.
In India, nearly 41 million units of ceiling fans are sold every year, making them one of the largest-selling cooling appliances. However, only three in every 100 households use energy-efficient ceiling fans. As the nation grapples with sweltering summers, energy-efficient and affordable fans are essential for reducing energy consumption and greenhouse emissions; cutting energy costs; and promoting sustainability.
In a country that faces hot summers every year, cooling solutions are not a luxury but a necessity. Nearly 41 million ceiling fans sold every year in India, making it the second most commonly found service product in Indian households1. These fans account for a significant 20% of India’s residential electricity consumption. However, almost 97% of these fans are not energy-efficient and lead to high energy consumption, increased greenhouse emissions, and inflated energy bills.
India’s demand for cooling solutions is expected to increase ninefold between the years 2018 and 2037, contributing to a fivefold increase in energy consumption under a business-as-usual approach as per the India Cooling Action Plan (ICAP). This surge in demand will place considerable strain on existing electricity systems and require certain additions that will result in higher emissions.
The Opportunity Gap
There is a massive opportunity for making India’s ceiling fan market more energy-efficient. This will yield benefits for the environment, consumers, and ultimately the nation’s energy consumption. With this view, India’s Bureau of Energy Efficiency made it mandatory in 2022 for ceiling fans to be manufactured with star-rating labels. Fans with 5-star rating consume up to 50% less power as compared to unlabeled or lower-starred fans.
The Collaborative Symphony of Progress
Just like the blades of a fan run in unison to produce a cooling breeze, a similarly harmonious synergy of parts is required in the form of collaborations to cool India sustainably. The government, fan manufacturers, and other stakeholders are like the three blades of a fan, each with a crucial role to play in achieving energy efficiency.
Government: Setting the Pace
With the Bureau of Energy Efficiency’s integral policy on raising the efficiency of fans and enabling market transformation, EESL launched an initiative to encourage the adoption of ten million energy-efficient fans in India. This initiative aligns perfectly with ICAP’s mission, underlining a strong commitment to a greener future. India is projected to have a stock of 700 million ceiling fans by 2037-38. Ensuring that these units are energy-efficient will alone reduce the country’s energy consumption by almost 15%, helping the country achieve its climate ambitions.
Manufacturers: Crafting Innovation
Fan manufacturers are responsible for transforming policies into tangible solutions. Under the Bureau of Energy Efficiency’s mandatory star-label policy for ceiling fans, manufacturers are increasingly designing and producing energy-efficient fans that adhere to these standards without compromising performance. These fans not only reduce electricity consumption but also highlight the innovation potential of Indian manufacturing.
A Unified Movement led by Stakeholders
The stakeholders in this energy efficiency movement include consumers, retailers, and advocacy groups, among others. Their collective involvement is of paramount importance. By choosing energy-efficient appliances, spreading awareness, and advocating sustainable choices, these stakeholders can generate a groundswell of change, magnifying the impact of their efforts.
Collaborating for a Cooler Tomorrow
With various forces coming together to address the growing demand for cooling solutions, EESL has joined hands with CLASP and other civil society partners through a Memorandum of Understanding signed at the 14th Clean Energy Ministerial in July 2023, to bring about substantial change. EESL’s vision to deploy ten million energy-efficient fans across India, if realized, has potential to significantly bring down energy consumption. With technical expertise and market transformation strategies provided by CLASP, this collaboration is a beacon of hope for a sustainable cooling revolution.
As temperatures rise, so do the energy requirements of cooling appliances. The need for sustainable cooling is thus non-negotiable. EESL’s collaborative effort paves the way for other players in the ecosystem to unite in achieving India’s sustainable cooling goals. The government, manufacturers, and stakeholders – like the three blades of a fan – must collaborate and complement each other to enable a greener, cooler tomorrow for India. Through energy-efficient fans and unwavering commitment to sustainability, India can usher in an era of responsible cooling that benefits both its present and future generations.
0. This is the product of population and Cooling Degree Days (CDDs) per year (230M x 2,810 CDDs). The Person CDDs methodology has been described by the US Department of Energy in The Future of Air Conditioning For Buildings (2016), which uses the 2016 population figure of 182M. This has been updated using population of 230M in 2022. The 646-billion-person CDDs still ranks Pakistan in 5th place behind India, China, Indonesia and Nigeria.
Net Zero Heroes: Scaling Efficient Appliances for Climate Change Mitigation, Adaptation & Resilience
Efficient appliances, lighting, and equipment are critical climate solutions, situated at the nexus of mitigation, adaptation, and sustainable development.
However, not enough is being done to maximize their benefits. In this report, CLASP lays out actions that must be taken by 2030 to put the world on a pathway to net zero emissions and enable a just energy transition. Our research identifies the ten appliances most vital to meeting global climate mitigation targets and improving people’s lives: the Net Zero Heroes.
Visit the Net Zero Heroes site to read and download the report.
0. This is the product of population and Cooling Degree Days (CDDs) per year (230M x 2,810 CDDs). The Person CDDs methodology has been described by the US Department of Energy in The Future of Air Conditioning For Buildings (2016), which uses the 2016 population figure of 182M. This has been updated using population of 230M in 2022. The 646-billion-person CDDs still ranks Pakistan in 5th place behind India, China, Indonesia and Nigeria.
Getting Appliances Back on Track: Assessing Progress Towards Global Energy Efficiency Commitments
At the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 26th Conference of the Parties (COP26) in 2021 in Glasgow, Scotland, 15 countries signed onto the Super-efficient Appliance and Equipment Deployment (SEAD) Initiative Appliance Efficiency Call to Action—estimated to be the largest energy efficiency commitment ever. The 15 signatories pledged to double the energy efficiency of four priority product categories by 2030: air conditioners (ACs), lighting, electric motors, and refrigerators, which collectively account for more than 40% of global electricity consumption.
“Getting Appliances Back on Track: Assessing Global Efficiency Progress,” evaluates economies’ progress toward the goal of doubling product efficiency, including the 15 signatories plus four top-emitting economies. The report also provides insight into the leading policy levers for accelerating appliance efficiency efforts – including examples of effective implementation of key interventions like minimum energy performance standards (MEPS) and appliance energy labeling.
15 signatories pledged to double the energy efficiency of four priority product categories by 2030: air conditioners (ACs), lighting, electric motors, and refrigerators, which collectively account for more than 40% of global electricity consumption.
“Getting Appliances Back on Track” offers valuable analysis to economies already committed to prioritizing appliance energy efficiency, and illustrates a path toward success for governments interested in joining as a Call to Action signatory.
This report continues analysis from World’s Best MEPS, which provided a snapshot of the stringency of minimum energy performance standards (MEPS) for key products across top-emitting economies.
“Getting Appliances Back on Track” is the first publication of CLASP’s #NetZeroHeroes COP28 digital campaign, which will shine a light on the critical role of appliance energy efficiency in the lead-up to climate discussions at COP28.
0. This is the product of population and Cooling Degree Days (CDDs) per year (230M x 2,810 CDDs). The Person CDDs methodology has been described by the US Department of Energy in The Future of Air Conditioning For Buildings (2016), which uses the 2016 population figure of 182M. This has been updated using population of 230M in 2022. The 646-billion-person CDDs still ranks Pakistan in 5th place behind India, China, Indonesia and Nigeria.
2023 Tech Trends in Energy Access
Building upon the insights presented in Efficiency for Access’ 2021 Solar Appliance Technology Briefs, this Tech Trends series provides a window into the rapidly evolving appliances markets. This series synthesizes technical, impact and market research done by Efficiency for Access and partners into a digestible snapshot. It offers valuable insights into emerging trends and opportunities across various off-grid appropriate appliances that are most relevant to catalyzing energy access and achieving the Sustainable Development Goals, along with a focus on identifying critical areas that require attention, complemented by specific recommendations.
The technologies covered in this series encompass:
- Electric cooking (e-cooking)
- Fans
- Refrigerators
- Solar mills
- Solar water pumps
- Walk-in cold rooms
We will be releasing the appliance market summaries successively over the next few months.
This comprehensive series aims to inform future strategies of industry stakeholders, providing a clear understanding of the market’s trajectory. It serves as a valuable, quick-read resource for a diverse audience, ranging from interested donors and newcomers to the appliance sector to seasoned industry players seeking a convenient reference for sharing with their respective networks.
Download the 2023 Tech Trends in Energy Access technology briefs.
About Efficiency for Access
Efficiency for Access is a global coalition working to promote renewable and energy efficient appliances to deliver clean energy to the world’s poorest people. It is coordinated jointly by CLASP and the UK’s Energy Saving Trust.
0. This is the product of population and Cooling Degree Days (CDDs) per year (230M x 2,810 CDDs). The Person CDDs methodology has been described by the US Department of Energy in The Future of Air Conditioning For Buildings (2016), which uses the 2016 population figure of 182M. This has been updated using population of 230M in 2022. The 646-billion-person CDDs still ranks Pakistan in 5th place behind India, China, Indonesia and Nigeria.
Market Assessment Report for Table & Wall-Mounted Fans in India
Table and wall-mounted fans are common appliances for circulating cool breezes and regulating temperatures. Due to their portability and affordability, they are in high demand in India.
India’s fan industry generates over 60 million units annually, valued at around INR 8,000 crores (USD 1.07 billion; 2018–19), projected to exceed USD 2 billion by 2023. Growing presence of organized retail outlets, increasing spending power, and rising preference for online sales platforms and modular homes are expected to boost demand for electric fans in India over the coming years. This will be further boosted by the India Cooling Action Plan, which was launched in 2019 and has a long-term vision to address cooling demand across sectors.
Given the opportunity to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions and reduce energy consumption, CLASP collaborated with ICF Consulting India Pvt. Limited to conduct a thorough market assessment and technical analysis of table and wall-mounted fans. The study covers product sales, import and export trends, available Indian test standards and test facilities, international labeling program comparisons, and recommendations to the Bureau of Energy Efficiency (BEE) for transitioning to a mandatory energy efficiency program.
The team reached out to relevant stakeholders and key industry players with structured questionnaires and in-depth interviews, providing the following insights:
- Manufacturing of table and wall-mounted fans increased from FY 2018-19 to FY 2019-20, followed by a decline in FY 2020-21 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
- Significant proportion of the current table and wall-mounted fan market in India is met through imports due to:
- high domestic costs for raw materials
- high domestic fuel costs
- competitive pricing of Chinese-manufactured fans (15%-20% cheaper)
- Fan exports have been growing at a compound annual growth rate of 5%.
- Fan models are categorized based on their sweep size. The highest market demand and manufacturing are observed for fans with a 400 mm sweep size (81%).
- Indian market offers 65+ manufacturers, 1,000+ variants of these fans with varying sweep sizes.
BEE has made the table and wall-mounted fan labelling program voluntary from March 1, 2023 to December 31, 2024.
As per the analysis, it is estimated that India’s fan market could reach 11.1 million by 2030. Implementation of the policy is projected to save 1.8 TWh electricity and 1.5 MtCO2 emissions.
0. This is the product of population and Cooling Degree Days (CDDs) per year (230M x 2,810 CDDs). The Person CDDs methodology has been described by the US Department of Energy in The Future of Air Conditioning For Buildings (2016), which uses the 2016 population figure of 182M. This has been updated using population of 230M in 2022. The 646-billion-person CDDs still ranks Pakistan in 5th place behind India, China, Indonesia and Nigeria.